OVERDUE IRAN OIL EMBARGO: WILL NETANYAHU ATTACK NEXT?
Netanyahu: Sound the alarm. The oil embargo against Iran is likely too little too late. (7/1/2012)
It’s July 1, 2012 today. A lot of pundits (including myself) have seen this date as marking a time that an attack on Iran would be overdue. Frankly, I had hoped that when the U.S. left Iraq, it was in large part to clear the way for Israel to rid the world of an Iranian nuclear threat. Iran was attacked by Stuxnet and Flame computer viruses, assassination of its nuclear scientists and more, but these were only temporary solutions. So is this month time for the attack? On the matrix below the axis term is OVERDUE. IRAN is at the same skip, as is JULY NO. Also at the same skip (but in the opposite direction) is a 3-letter world for EMBARGO. The oil embargo was supposed to start today. OIL is at skip +1 on the matrix, as is NETANYAHU, the Israeli Prime Minister who has been pressured by Obama to wait until after the embargo can take effect before making a decision to strike Iran. TOURIST is at skip +2. Israel may delay striking Iran during the summer of 5772 (now) because it’s tourist season, and war isn’t generally good for the tourist industry. The open text has SOUND THE ALARM, with ALARM the musical note TERUAH, a series of short, staccato notes extending over a period of about 3 seconds. In 2012 these notes will be blown on the shofar on Rosh Hashana (between sunset September 16-18) and at the conclusion of Yom Kippur on the evening of September 26.
THE ISSUE OF EXEMPTIONS FROM THE OIL EMBARGO. While Israel (and the U.S.) both gamble with their very existance each day that Iranian nuclear facilities are not attacked, the U.S. said China and Singapore have “significantly reduced” their purchases of Iranian oil, earning exemptions from U.S. financial sanctions that otherwise would have been imposed yesterday.
China was the biggest importer of Iranian crude last year, and Singapore is Asia’s oil trading and refining hub. The U.S. granted renewable, 180-day exemptions on March 20 to Japan and 10 European Union nations. India, South Korea, Turkey, South Africa, Malaysia, Sri Lanka and Taiwan won exemptions June 11.
“A total of 20 world economies have now qualified for such an exception,” Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on June 28, 2012 in an e-mailed statement.
Republican Representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen of Florida, who heads the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said in an e- mailed statement that the administration granted a “free pass” to China, which she called “Iran’s biggest enabler.”
“If the administration is willing to give China, a country that has aided the Iranian regime’s efforts to acquire nuclear capabilities, a free pass, who is it willing to sanction?” she said.
STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE OF THE MATRIX. As per my standard protocol, no positive statistical significance is assigned to the axis term, here OVERDUE at ELS rank 2 (in wrapped Torah) which results in a downgrade in matrix significance by a factor of 2 at the end of the calculation. IRAN, JULY and EMBARGO are all at the absolute skip of the axis term. Odds against such a special case skip (+/- 1 or the skip of the axis term) are about 122 to 1 for the 5-letter spelling of IRAN, about 7 to 1 for one of the two synonyms sought for JULY, and a little less than 5 to 1 for EMBARGO. OIL is at skip +1 against odds of about 4 to 1. NETANYAHU is at skip +1 against odds of about 38 to 1. TOURIST was not significant. The year 5772 had about 1 chance in 2 to be there. SOUND THE ALARM was only found a-posteriori, as was the NO after JULY, so these words were not part of the calculation. Rather than say there will be no attack in July, it may just mean that the overdue embargo of Iran begins in July. Overall, the matrix exists against odds of about 724,276 to 1. It is thus seen as quite significant.