PART 1- DISINFORMATION ABOUT MARS (Sunrise times)

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PART 1 - Unraveling the simplest demonstrable disinformation first. (1/4/2013)

The reasonable man adapts himself to the world: the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore all progress depends on the unreasonable man.

                                                      George Bernard Shaw

INTRODUCTION.

       Perhaps I'm unreasonable, but if humanity is ever to land on Mars and colonize it, we must first make it widely known that the portrait of Mars painted by NASA, JPL, the Remote Environmental Monitoring Station (REMS) Team for the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) rover Curiosity, and Ashima Research is simply wrong. It doesn’t explain the weather plainly seen. We must expose why they are wrong, and find the motivation for disinformation to ensure that the enemies of progress are stopped cold. This report will first explore the easiest to prove aspects of disinformation - sunrise and sunset times at MSL, winds, and relative humidity. It will then move on to atmospheric pressure errors, and finally point the way to a possible explanation for a pattern of deception that has roots back to at least 1976.

       This report will be copied onto my son's website, minus the Torah Code matrix shown at the conclusion of Part 1 below. The conclusion represents the sole opinion of me, Barry S. Roffman. It's based on research begun in conjunction with my son, David, who in part due to disgust over the way Mars research has been conducted in the United States, has left the field of space physics; however, after a lot of nagging, I did get him to apply his knowledge to check the results that I derived for estimating the length of Martian daylight. His results, presented below, are remarkably similar to what I derived by an entirely different technique. David has moved on to high energy/experimental physics for his PhD, although lack of jobs for physicists in America could force him into a career in Quantitative Finance which he discusses here. As such, all correspondence in reference to the facts and opinions stated herein about Mars should be directed solely to me at BarrySRoffman@Gmail.Com

Figure 1 above: Sunrise and sunset disinformation put out by Ashima Research. The constant wind of 7.2 km/hour is equal to the constant wind of 2 m/s shown on Figure 2.

Table 1 above: Sunrise and sunset times for Mars Science Laboratory calculated by Barry S. Roffman.

1. SUNRISE, SUNSET, SUNRISE, SUNSET, SWIFTLY FLOW THE LIES. Each lie leads us to another, laden with the Government's true fear. With the exception of MSL Sol 56, for almost five months now Ashima Research has published the daily MSL sunrise time as 6 am and the daily sunset time as 5 pm (11 hours of daylight, 13 of darkness). Actual local sunrise times will vary from 6:07:30 am for sunrise and sunset at 17:52:30 (11 hours 45 minutes of daylight and 12 hour 15 minutes of darkness (Ls 270) to 12 hours 29 minutes of daylight and 11 hours 31 minutes of darkness around Ls 270 with sunrise at about 5:45:30 and sunset at 18:14:30. If you look at Ashima's reports on Figure 1 you will see that the length of day figures constitute 25% of their daily reports. They have been contacted by me on numerous occasions about this repeated error, yet they persist in publishing lies. See Table 1 for a better approximation of MSL sunrise and sunset times.

 

       A reasonable approximation of actual sunrise and sunset times at the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) is based on the following initial assumptions: (1) Tilt of Earth’s axis = 23.4°. (2) Tilt of the Martian axis = 25.19°. The difference is 1.79°. (3) The latitude of MSL is 4.59° S. (4) For purposes of calculating how the length of Martian day light varies with its position in its orbit around the sun, because the Martian axis is tilted an extra 1.79°, the effective latitude of MSL for purposes of comparison with Earth will be 4.59° + 1.79° = 6.38° S. (5) Local time at MSL is based on a longitude of 0°. While Table 1 shows the local sunrise times of 4.59° S, the times offered for 6.38° S are a better approximation of what is seen at MSL. Earth’s day light was derived from a calculator at http://www.satellite-calculations.com/Satellite/Sunrise_and_sunset.htm.

       The entering arguments were for both 4.59° S and 6.38° S, with length of daylight displayed for both latitudes and emphasis on 6.38° S. It is further assumed that local apparent noon is half way through the day length, and that therefore local sunrise occurs at a time that corresponds to local apparent noon minus half the daylight while local sunset occurs at a time corresponding to local apparent noon plus half the daylight hours. From these assumptions it can quickly be seen that in contrast to disinformation published by Ashima Research in conjunction with the Remote Environmental Monitoring Station (REMS) Team employed by NASA/JPL for publishing all weather data gathered by MSL; the length of the day does indeed vary from their constant 13 hours of night time and 11 hours of day light with a continuing sunrise at 6 am and sunset at 5 PM. In fact, the constant day length of 11 hours at MSL will never occur at MSL. The shortest daylight will be about 11 hours 45 minutes. This occurs for several days on either side of Ls 90 around February 7, 2014. The longest daylight is about 12 hours 29 minutes. This occurs for several days around Ls 270 which will occur on February 26, 2013. While there are many days when sunrise will occur near 6 am as Ashima shows from August 22, 2012 to December 31, 2012 (it was at 6 am August 26 to 27, 2012), sunset never occurs as early as 5 pm. The earliest sunset will be about 5:52:30 pm around Ls 90.

       That Ashima/REMS Team and JPL have been so irresponsible in publishing this basic information is merely the entering argument in our case that the NASA/JPL Emperor has no clothes, and that all pressure data published by NASA/JPL since the Vikings have landed is totally false. Our full case for this is made in our report, HIGHER THAN ADVERTISED MARTIAN AIR PRESSURE and throughout this web site. It will briefly be summarized below too. However, while our report requires an open mind and study of all data acquired during an intensive 3.5 year audit of Viking lander and other pressure data, nowhere is the case easier to make that the data spoon-fed to the media and the public is utter nonsense than with the sunrise and sunset times put out by Ashima. With this data and all the rest of the data that we present, I ask my readers to contact their elected leaders with the purpose of starting an inquiry into the many facts that were published indicating either gross incompetence or a deliberate cover-up of the real pressures on Mars. The primary purpose of my research efforts is to spur serious funding for manned missions to Mars and to ensure that any evidence uncovered having a bearing on a history of advanced life forms there will published in an honest and unclassified manner.

Figure 2: A few of the many serious mistakes made by the REMS Team and Ashima Research. While those pressures listed about 740 hPa are labeled as having wrong units because they are 100 times greater than pressures generally accepted, the actial weather on Mars seems to suggest that such high pressures are indeed possible. Note the only exception at sol 56 for 13 hours of night, sandwiched between sols 55 and 57 when Ashima reported 13 hour of night.

THE CALCULATION BY DAVID A. ROFFMAN.

 The first step is to specify the latitude, φ. For purposes of my calculation, the latitude used was the actual latitude of the MSL on Mars, namely 4.59° South (written as -4.59). Next the declination (δ) must be calculated: δ = arcsin((sin(25.19)*sin(λsun)).  The required input is the Ls, which is λsun. The hour angle is then H = arccos((SIN(-.17) - SIN(φ)*SIN(δ))/(COS(φ)*COS(δ))).  This output must be in degrees.  The text speaks of calculating the solar transit (local noon).  However, it also notes that the sunrise and sunset times are the local noon time -/+ 1.027491*H/360.  By taking the equations for sunrise and sunset times (the actual formulae for the Julian dates are irrelevant as they share a common term that will be canceled) and subtracting the sunrise from the sunset one, a number is obtained.  This is the time interval between the sunset and sunrise times, and is hence the length of day.  The length of day is: 2*1.027491*H/360.  Multiply by 24 to get hours.

Issues considered by Barry Roffman in refining the sunrise sunset calculations. If you look at the part of Figure 3 that shows the sole exception to Ashima’s reports about 13 hour nights and 11 hour days (Sol 56 on October 2, 2012) you can get an idea of how difficult that it was for Ashima to nail down sunrise and sunset times at MSL. Was their estimate that sunrise would occur at 5:31 am and sunset at 5:09 pm correct for that day? No. That amounts to 11 hours 38 minutes of daylight. In accordance with my son's calculation, that would equate to a sol with about 12 hours 1 minute 41 seconds of daylight when the planet was at Ls 181.2. This would be only three days after the southern hemisphere had just left the winter and entered the spring. At the equinox we expect daylight and hours after daylight to be close to 12 hour each. My cruder method indicated 12 hour 7 minutes of daylight for Sol 56, so there was a 5 minute 19 second difference between our methods (amounting to a little less than a 3 minute disagreement for sunrise and sunset), but a 23 minute error for daylight by Ashima, whose error grew to over 1 hour 19 minutes of daylight at Ls 270.

       As an Orthodox Jew, I watch sunset times very closely throughout the year because it affects when we begin the Sabbath. I know from experience that the days are not equal where se it affects when we begin the Sabbath. I know from experience that the days are not equal where I live at the “equinox,” nor does the earliest Sabbath come at the winter solstice, nor does the latest Sabbath some at the summer solstice. For example, in Washington, D.C. in 2013 the vernal equinox occurs on March 20 but the length of day then is actually 12 hours 9 minutes. It will be 12 hours 1 minute long on March 17 (and 11 hours 59 minutes long on March 16). The autumnal equinox occurred on September 22, 2012, but the length of day then was actually 12 hours 8 minutes. It was 12 hours long on September 25, 2012. We when we look at the equinoxes on Mars, we must be careful to not confuse them with 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of the sun down. However, we would expect them to be close to 12 hours each. The problem with the equinox in Washington is discussed at http://www.wjla.com/blogs/weather/2012/09/autumnal-equinox-equal-hours-of-daylight-darkness-or-not--16735.html. Of particular note is the following:

Sunrise: 6:56 a.m.  Sunset: 7:04 p.m..  So if there isn't equal parts of daylight and darkness on Saturday, why is it the equinox?  The day we have 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of darkness actually falls on Tuesday, Sept. 25.  Sunrise: 6:59 a.m.  Sunset: 7:00 p.m.   Shouldn't Tuesday be the autumnal equinox?

Well, we have the atmosphere to thank for this oddity.  Also, the definition of sunrise and sunset.  Sunrise occurs the moment the tip of the sun can be seen on the horizon and sunset is the last minute the sun can be seen before it dips below the horizon.  Also, keep in mind our atmosphere refracts, or bends, light, which makes it appear as if the sun is rising or setting earlier. 

The true equinox occurs when the center of the sun's disk crosses the celestial equator and this occurs at 10:59 a.m. EDT on September 22.  At the same time the equinox occurs in D.C., it occurs across the globe.

       So we have two slightly complicating factors, although the sun subtends less of an angle from Mars than it does from Earth. However, Mars also turns about 37 minutes slower than Earth does each day. This leads to a question of how to measure time on Mars. When we performed an extensive audit of Viking lander pressures and temperatures for our Report, we used the Viking Project time scheme of 25 time bins per Martian sol, each with about 59 minutes in them. However, for purposes of times quoted in my article, I assume 24 hour on Mars, with each hour having 60 minutes but with each minute having a greater duration than on Earth (each Mars second will be about 1.02583333 Earth seconds). The goal here is for a sense of proportionality. So 12 hours and 10 minutes of daylight in this scheme will actually be equal to about 5.5 seconds longer than on Earth.

       The bottom line on the issue of Sol 56 on Mars is this. MSL landed close to the equator (4.59°). Each degree of latitude change in Mars is only about 59 km. So that's just 270.81 km (169.25 miles) from the equator. Although the tilt of Mars' axis is 1.79° more than Earth's, this will not be a significant factor around the solstices so close to the equator. The length of the Martian day this close to the solstice at Ls 181.2 will be close to 12 hours. Obviously, this is also also true for the day before and after Sol 56, when Ashima reported 13 hours of night for each sol as it did for all other sols until at least Sol 144 on December 31, 2012. See Figure 2.

FIGURE 3 - SUMMARY OF DAVID A. ROFFMAN'S MARS DAYLIGHT CALCULATIONS WITH A COMPARISON TO THE FIGURES ESTIMATED PREVIOUSLY BY HIS FATHER, BARRY S. ROFFMAN

Understanding where Mars is in its orbit. The solar longitude Ls is the Mars-Sun angle, measured from the Northern Hemisphere spring equinox where Ls=0. Ls=90 thus corresponds to summer solstice, just as Ls=180 marks the autumn equinox and Ls=270 the winter solstice (all relative to the northern hemisphere). In trying to understand where Mars is in its orbit, it’s important to know that while all Martian months involve a change of 30 degrees, there is a large variation in number of days in each of the 12 months there, and also a large variation in angular speed around the sun (see Figure 3 and Table 2 below). In working up estimates for the length of any given day I used Table 2. This allowed me to project within a day or 2 over the Martian year where the planet would be, so that I could compare the length of day on Mars with a similar position in Earth’s orbit.  Small errors were introduced where the daily rate of change in Ls was not quite the monthly average shown in the last column of Table 2.

 

TABLE 2 – THE MARTIAN MONTHLY CALENDAR

MARS

MONTH

END SOL

START SOL

DAYS

Degrees per month

ΔLs Degrees

per Day

1

61

0

61

30

0.491803

2

127

61

66

30

0.454545

3

193

127

66

30

0.454545

4

258

193

65

30

0.461538

5

318

258

60

30

0.5

6

372

318

54

30

0.555556

7

422

372

50

30

0.6

8

468

422

46

30

0.652174

9

515

468

47

30

0.638298

10

562

515

47

30

0.638298

11

613

562

51

30

0.588235

12

669

613

56

30

0.535714

 

While the slightly greater tilt of the Martian axis was not much of a factor around the equinoxes (Month 1, Sol 1; and Month 7, Sol 373), the tilt does make a significant difference at the solstices (Month 3, Sol 193; and Month 10, Sol 515). Note that aphelion (when Mars is furthest from the sun) and perihelion (when Mars is closest to the sun) does not correspond to the start of any Martian month. The next perihelion for Mars will be on December 12, 2014 which on the Martian calendar is Month 9, Sol 485, Ls 250.7. It will then be 1.38 AU from the sun. The next aphelion for Mars will be on January 2, 2014 which on the Martian calendar is Month 3, Sol 151, Ls 70.6. It will then be 1.67 AU from the sun.

Figure 4 - I found it necessary to correct the REMS Team and JPL about which month it was on Mars back in August 2012. They made the correction, but the level of mistakes made has been high enough to raise questions about what is really going on with the REMS Team. Are they being prevented from revealing the truth about Martian air pressure, or were they simply incapable of distinguishing between hPa and Pa pressure units?

WHO IS ASHIMA RESEARCH RESEARCH? Ashima Research is a team composed of scientists at Ashima Research in Pasadena, California, the John Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory in Maryland, the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, and at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences. With respect to who controls them and what its agendas might be, their site states that “MarsWeather and MeteoMarte are provided as a service by Ashima Research. These websites are / were not funded by NASA, by any agency of the US government, nor by any agency of the governments of Spain or Finland.” But elsewhere it states, “Ashima Research is a part of the science team for the Rover Environmental Monitoring Station (REMS) – the rover’s weather station.” Under their TERMS link they state, "All spacecraft data and images included on this site are in the public domain and courtesy of NASA/JPL, CAB, and FMI, except as stated. This website is for entertainment purposes only. All content except as stated/ credited is owned by Ashima Research." We must ask, Who are they entertaining by publishing disinformation? The American taxpayers have spent $2.5 billion to fund MSL. We did not do so to entertain a bunch of clowns who have no respect for the sanctity of scientific data. Ashima, the REMS Team, JPL and NASA must be held accountable for their errant ways. 

     Elsewhere on this site I reviewed their paper entitled The Ashima/MIT Mars CGM and argon in the Martian atmosphere. Under their Acknowledgments section (page 1066), they state, "This work was funded by NASA Planetary Atmospheres under grant number NNX10AB42G to Ashima Research. Simulations were conducted on the NASA HEC Pleiades computer." So they first allow for no Government responsibility, and then they reveal that they are a paid part of the NASA assigned REMS team. This means that they have a financial stake in making REMS look professional and, it would seem, consistent with previous findings about the magnitude of Martian air pressure. In any serious attempt to understand Martian weather and atmospheric conditions it is essential to have data obtained by the MSL transmitted to the concerned scientists and general public in an accurate manner. However, ever since MSL touched down, the responsible parties have been grossly incompetent in presenting the data. An example of MSL errors in this respect is shown above on Figure 2 and is discussed on my site at MSL Credibility. For a long time I tried to politely inform Ashima and JPL of the importance of publishing all hourly pressure and temperature data, and in particular I let them know that there were serious problems with Ashima's insistence that all Martian days are always 11 hours long and all Martian night are always 13 hours long, as is shown with the examples given on this page. Without knowing when sunrise and sunset occur on Mars, it's very hard  to correlate any relationship between pressure and temperature. Yet promised data for the Planetary data System (PDS) site has failed to materialize in 5 months since MSL landing, and constant errors persist at the Ashima site. After having my polite corrections and concerns deleted by the Ashima blog, I have become aware that Ashima is apparently not concerned with portraying an accurate picture of Martian meteorology. Rather, Ashima appears to be the weakest link in the JPL disinformation armor, and as such I will return to them thoughout my analysis of how the public is being misled about Mars.

Part 2 of this science article is being developed HERE.

 

ze="3">What is posted below is for the benefit of Torah Codes enthusiasts and, hopefully also for the benefit of Ashima Research in terms of attitude correction needed there.  I should probably preface this with my son's observation that people who with doctorates in physics are often personifications of common anal openings. From the photo found on-line, it appears that Ashima is a relatively young company, who, like my son, got excited by seeing their name displayed on a door. If they are as sold on the belief that physics and mathematics can explain all phenomena as my son is, they may be shocked to learn that their name was painted into the Torah Code over 3,300 years ago, with Mars, and with the answer to the question of whether their disinformation is by design, or by a foolish inability to understand the data that they have been given access to. The matrix (Figure A) comes down on the side of foolishness. On it, ASHIMA RESEARCH is the axis term (first term sought at an Equidistant Letter Sequence - ELS). At the same skip is MARS as a direct transliteration of the English word MARS, and FOOLISH. The Hebrew word for MARS is also on the matrix. My suspicion, based on the work of Dr. John Brandenburg, that there was an ancient war on Mars, is supported here by the word for WAR being in the open text of Deuteronomy 4:34 with ANCIENT at an ELS. The word HEAVEN is also shown in the open text at Deuteronomy 28:24. The full phrase there is suggestive of what might have happened to Mars at some time in the distant past. It reads, "The LORD will make the rain of your land powder and dust; from heaven shall it come down upon you, until you be destroyed."

       As per the spreadsheet under the matrix, this material found encoded together in this way against odds of about 675,409 to 1, but the most significant items were both spellings for Mars (which is indisputably associated with Ashima) and war (which is disputable). Mars was at a special case skip (+/- 1 or the absolute skip of the axis terms) against odds >foolish was there against odds of about 9 to 1 (not breathtaking). Not found was anything about lies or disinformation