ATOMIC HOLOCAUST

In 1997 Michael Drosnin published a book entitled THE BIBLE CODE. In it he predicted that Libyans and Syrians would launch an atomic attack on Israel. After the U.S. invaded Iraq in 2003, Libya turned over (hopefully) all of its equipment dedicated to developing nuclear weapons. In September, 2007, Israel attacked and destroyed a North Korean-built nuclear reactor in Syria. As this article is being written, there is a still a threat that the Iranians will develop nuclear weapons and use them against Israel. There is also a possibility that Israel will attack Iran to thwart this threat.

I personally went to Egypt and met with Egyptian Government officials in 1999 in an attempt to head off the threat mentioned in Drosnin’s book. That story is posted on this site under EXPEDITIONS.  It covers both my appearance at the International Torah Code Society (ITCS) first convention in Jerusalem to discuss Ark-related matrices and methodology in computing  probabilities; and the meetings that I had with the Egyptians.  However, the article below will only deal with the mathematical significance of war-related matrices that were at the focus of the Egyptian meetings.

An exhaustive analysis of Drosnin’s findings reveals that many are not significant. Supposedly related finds do not show up on plots at related skips with common column width. Where such material share no more than a single letter from one matrix to another, a three-dimensional plot would be required to compactly show the true relationship of letters to each other. Such a plot does not lend itself well to a two-dimensional book page. But even if we could display the required complex model with new computer software, the possibility of finding desired key words increases greatly with the addition of a third dimension. This, of course, implies a proportional decrease in the statistical significance of such a plot.

Probability calculations in this article will generally focus on the chance of finding individual items seen on the plots examined rather than combined probabilities as is the case in the rest of my Ark Search experiment. This is because the specification of key words in the Ark search was simpler. Words like latitude, longitude, position, Jerusalem and the Arabic site names closely linked with the coordinates were all natural and logical key words to seek a-priori. On the other hand, while a year or phrases like The End of days or 9^th of Av is the Day of the Third are interesting, there was no way of knowing whether or not they are correct key words to search for a-priori. These findings (at least the first time seen) are a-posteriori. Thus, I will give a measure of their expected probability based upon observed frequencies in the Torah, but a combined probability is often inappropriate.

So how good are Drosnin’s Atomic Holocaust findings? We begin with my Figure 1, a composite of Drosnin plots found on pages 87, 124, and 163 of THE BIBLE CODE. The plot shows the axis term,World War, vertically. This find of World War occurs at a skip of +2,839. Figure 1 shows the Hebrew year 5760 (1999-2000 CE) not too far from World War, but page 124-125 of Drosnin’s book also portrays the Hebrew year 5766 connect his World War plot with an Atomic Holocaust plot. Drosnin’s book was published in 1997. I’m writing this article in 2008. No world war occurred in either 2000 or 2007. Therefore we now know neither year just cited turned out to be significant. This was also true for a year he suspected at an earlier time - 1996.

The way that the World War and Atomic Holocaust plots are arranged in Drosnin’s book, one might easily get the impression that one plot is a continuation of the next. This, however, would be a false impression because Atomic Holocaust is found at a skip of 3,133. The World War and Atomic Holocaust terms can only be properly related in three dimensions because the base skips are not compatible for a small two-dimensional matrix.

Also on Figure 1 are the Drosnin finds for the words 9^th of Av is the day of the Third, Ariel (which in the Book of Isaiah is used to mean Jerusalem), and In the End of Days.

A speadsheet for Figure 1 indicates the probability for everything shown except the phrase In the End of Days which is considered too vague. In the 714-letter box, the chance for The 9th of Av is the Date of the Third to be there was about one in 427. As such, it’s the most significant aspect of the find. This is so because of the low probability, the fact that the 9^th of Av has long been a day of dread for Israel (both Temples in Jerusalem were destroyed on this day), and because it includes The Third which may refer to the Third World War.

Ariel is at the special case skip of -1. The probability that a form of Jerusalem or Ariel would appear somewhere on Figure 1 at such a special case is about one in 31, but Jerusalem is found at an ELS so frequently that it looks like Drosnin was reaching to have to settle for Ariel. The year (now disproven) 5760 had better than one chance in four of being somewhere on the plot so it wasn’t significant.

On Figure 2 below, Atomic Holocaust is encoded at a skip of -3,133. Column width is set at 1,044 as it was on Page 125 of THE BIBLE CODE. Items of note on Figure 2 include Ramallah, a hotbed of the Palestinian uprising and Yasser Arafat’s headquarters before his death. This city’s name shares a letter mem with Atomic Holocaust. Like Ramallah, the phrase Fulfills a prophecy is also at a skip of –1 (a special case). Libya is also shown on Figure 2 with a skip of –1 and it too shares a letter vav with Atomic Holocaust. The phrase in Egypt touches a letter alef in Atomic Holocaust. The same exact phrase In the End of Days as was seen on Figure 1 encoded with World War appears here too.

Finally, the phrase Code will Rescue (Drosnin translates it as Code will Save) appears at skip +1. This same phrase is shown forming a perpendicular with Atomic Holocaust in a plot presented as Figure 3 with column width set there at 3,133.

Of particular note on Figure 2 above is that the exact same single occurrence phrase that started my search for the Ark of the Covenant, Egyptians were burying seen in ELS Map 1, and the last letter (tav) of the encoding of Ark of the Covenant at skip –306 at Numbers 33:4 are on the plot with the tav of Ark of the Covenant less than three letters away from the letters mem and vav of Atomic Holocaust, but a three dimensional model would be required to show the full relationship between Egyptians were burying, Ark of the Covenant, and Atomic Holocaust.

What shall our calculations be based upon? The matrix in question has 735 letters. Unlike the World War plot, we will search the Control (all Torah) for In the End of Days here because it was seen on the World War plot too and we want to know how likely it is that this phrase would repeat here. We search for this phrase only at skip +1 as we will for Israel, Egypt, and Code will rescue. We search for Libya, Ramallah, and Fulfills a prophecy at what I call "special case skips" +1, -1, "N", and -N with N here a column width of 1,044.

As the spreadsheet indicates below, none of the locations shown on the plot are statistically significant. The odds are better than one chance in two that Israel, Egypt, and Libya would appear on the plot (but on Figure 3 the odds that Libya at skips +1, -1, “N,” or “-N” would be in a 30-letter box with Atomic Holocaust were about 1 in 26. Even Ramallah had a surprisingly high probability – about one chance in 4 that it would be there. This is so because the open text here includes the commonly found words “Moses saying” (Ramallah at skip –1 is made of the four letters of saying and the last letter of Moses). Three items were statistically significant – the phrases In the End of Days, Code will rescue/save, and Egyptians were burying.

The chance that one of the four Torah findings of In the End of Days would be there was about 1 in 104 (but the finding was, again, the exact same finding as was seen on the World War plot). The probability for Code will rescue/save to be on the plot is one chance in 207, while the probability for Egyptians were burying was about one in 415. The combined chance that all three phrases would be this close to Atomic Holocaust would have been about one in 8,990,366 if these three phrases were the only phrases sought a-priori. Unfortunately, I can’t consider such a figure to be a real probability because I have no way of knowing what was a-priori, what was a-posteriori, and what was sought but not found. Only Mr. Drosnin can address these issues. Further, the phrase Egyptians were burying is significant in my research, but was not mentioned by Drosnin even though it obviously is a topic related to any potential nuclear war.

On page 132 of his first book, Drosnin has a plot based on a finding of Atomic Weapon intersecting Jerusalem where it appears in the open text. If this plot were based on Torah, it would be truly astounding, but it isn’t. Although it’s never found in the open-text of the Torah, Jerusalem with its most common, six-letter Biblical spelling  appears 49 times in the book of Isaiah and 664 times in the Tenach (Old Testament) outside the Torah. In this case Jerusalem and atomic weapon can both be placed in a 42-letter box. A spreadsheet revealed that the probability to have Jerusalem in the 42-letter box with atomic weapon is about one in 33. But when I attempted to reproduce this plot on my own computer, the attempt failed due to a difference in spelling in Isaiah from Drosnin’s software to my own. Unlike the Torah, the other books of the Tenach have not been bound by a strict requirement barring variations in text. However, with CodeFinder I did find many similar plots matching Jerusalem with atomic weapon. Figure 4 shows one of them found in Jeremiah with Libya also on the plot at the same interval and in the same column as atomic weapon. None are very significant from a statistical point, but all were consistent with the concern about whether Libya really came clean about all its nuclear weapons programs.